Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.069126 0.076634 0.084871 0.094621 0.105905 0.118623 0.134140
2024-10-06 0.058375 0.068659 0.080876 0.096646 0.116742 0.141878 0.176333
2024-10-13 0.049583 0.060913 0.075202 0.094932 0.122108 0.159233 0.215681
2024-10-20 0.044266 0.056363 0.072401 0.095866 0.130500 0.181827 0.268111
2024-10-27 0.039733 0.052055 0.069060 0.095159 0.136014 0.201054 0.320971
2024-11-03 0.036723 0.049355 0.067433 0.096435 0.144437 0.226399 0.392466
2024-11-10 0.034225 0.047031 0.065955 0.097541 0.152566 0.252958 0.476220
2024-11-17 0.031783 0.044493 0.063787 0.097103 0.157800 0.275340 0.560558
2024-11-24 0.030029 0.042796 0.062690 0.098212 0.165907 0.305324 0.676913
2024-12-01 0.028509 0.041300 0.061718 0.099335 0.174170 0.337873 0.818120
2024-12-08 0.027117 0.039872 0.060684 0.100155 0.181924 0.371547 0.984431
2024-12-15 0.025708 0.038289 0.059215 0.099931 0.187401 0.401428 1.160575
2024-12-22 0.024247 0.036533 0.057327 0.098745 0.190777 0.427753 1.349351
2024-12-29 0.023416 0.035771 0.057123 0.100882 0.202260 0.480742 1.704749
2025-01-05 0.022109 0.034098 0.055119 0.099066 0.203948 0.505954 1.963514
2025-01-12 0.021291 0.033214 0.054486 0.100053 0.212867 0.557681 2.441956
2025-01-19 0.020327 0.032004 0.053134 0.099304 0.217153 0.596102 2.910691
2025-01-26 0.019689 0.031332 0.052750 0.100654 0.227450 0.661208 3.719687
2025-02-02 0.019078 0.030666 0.052314 0.101825 0.237565 0.731431 4.787204
2025-02-09 0.018339 0.029717 0.051239 0.101361 0.242826 0.785051 5.893316
2025-02-16 0.017818 0.029139 0.050865 0.102534 0.253425 0.869245 7.794222
2025-02-23 0.017331 0.028596 0.050515 0.103723 0.264446 0.963666 10.520580
2025-03-02 0.016846 0.028025 0.050060 0.104592 0.274709 1.062665 14.329527